Introduction
What The Yield Curve ‘Indicator’ Really Means & Why Investors Should Keep Calm & Carry On
The month of August 2019 has seen the financial press and pages dominated by the term ‘yield curve inversion’ and ‘inverted yield curve’. The event is being touted as a strong indication that a global recession is approaching. That’s based on the fact that 7 of the last 9 recessions were preceded by financial markets triggering the same phenomenon.
For many investors, what the term actually means and why its occurrence is so significant won’t be entirely clear. Others will be left wondering just how reliable an indicator the inversion really is? And there is of course the question of what, if anything, investors should do about it. Should you take action, completely ignore the noise or adopt an approach that falls somewhere in between? As always, the devil is in the detail.
In the report we’ll take a closer look at and simply explain:
- What The Yield Curve Is and What ‘Yield Curve Inversion’ Means
- Why Is A Yield Curve Inversion Considered A Recession Indicator?
- Is A Yield Curve Inversion Always Followed By A Recession?
- Why The Recent Yield Curve Inversions Doesn’t Guarantee a Recession
- Should Investors React?
- Investors Who Should Keep Calm and Carry On
- Investors Who Might Consider Rebalancing & How